On-Line Economic Optimization of Energy Systems Using Weather Forecast Information

TitleOn-Line Economic Optimization of Energy Systems Using Weather Forecast Information
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2009
AuthorsZavala, VM, Constantinescu, EM, Krause, T, Anitescu, M
JournalJ. Process Control
Volume19
Issue10
Pagination1725-1736
Date Published01/2009
Other NumbersANL/MCS-P1588-0309
Abstract

We establish an on-line optimization framework to exploit weather forecast information in the operation of energy systems. We argue that anticipating the weather conditions can lead to more proactive and cost-effective operations. The framework is based on the solution of a stochastic dynamic real-time optimization (D-RTO) problem incorporating forecasts generated from a state-of-the-art weather prediction model. The necessary uncertainty information is extracted from the weather model using an ensemble approach. The accuracy of the forecast trends and uncertainty bounds are validated using real meteorological data. We present a numerical simulation study in a building system to demonstrate the developments.

PDFhttp://www.mcs.anl.gov/papers/P1588A.pdf